The Note: Parties campaign past each other amid midterm uncertainties



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Add The Note as an interest to stay up to date on the latest The Note news, video, and analysis from ABC News.The NoteAdd Interest<pThe TAKE with Rick Klein

<pDemocrats and Republicans are running against each other, of course.

<pBut they're really campaigning past each other — playing out entirely different campaigns, animated by disparate issues and, led by President Donald Trumptwo-week final push focused on health care, confident in their take on the No. 1 issue popping up in campaign messaging coast to coast.

<pTrump is trying to change that subject entirely, seeking to make the midterms all about a migrant caravan he is, without evidence, blaming on Democrats.



<pThe vastly different plays are evident in the campaigns for Senate in Texas, where Trump's rally with Sen. Ted Cruz grabbed headlines. It's also obvious in the race for governor in Florida, where Hillary Clinton will raise money behind closed doors — no public event was scheduled — for Democrat Andrew Gillum on Tuesday.

<pBoth sides think they're right and think their voters will respond. The truth is that nobody knows — and that this electionmigrants fleeing violence and poverty in Central America.

<pNot only is he not mincing words, he's said plainly that the caravan — and strong pictures of the caravan — could be good for Republicans this fall, and so he wants to talk about it as much as possible.

<pOf course, it's an issue — immigrationdeflect from other issues that voters said they also care about, like health care, wages and corruption, because those issues are not playing well.

<pTo a point, that's fair. But alarmist, racially charged, and, arguably, a fear-mongering tactic for political gain should be viewed critically.

<pThe president's only real idea — to close and militarize the border — is probably illegal. The National Guard or other military officers could assist the Border Patrol, but again, that’s a real conversation that we’re not having.

<pThe TIP with John Verhovek

<pSen. Kamala Harris wants you to know that her trip to Iowa is all about 2018.

<p"I'm really focused on the next 15 days. You can focus on whatever you're thinking about," Harris said in response to a question from ABC News on Monday about her presidential aspirations.

<pThe California Democrat is in the midst of a two-day campaign swing that will take her across central and eastern Iowa, and while the events may be to boost her party’s candidates this cycle, her rhetoric suggests she has her eyes on the future.



<p"This moment at some point will pass. We will get beyond this, I promise you," she told a crowd in downtown Des Moines Monday evening.

<pHarris has four campaign stops slated for Tuesday in eastern Iowa: Cedar Falls, Waterloo, Iowa City and Cedar Rapids, as she looks to boost Democrats in the Hawkeye State in the campaign's closing weeks.


<pABC News’ “Start Here” Podcast. Tuesday morning’s episode features ABC News Chief National correspondent Matt Gutman, who checks in from alongside the migrant caravan in Mexico. ABC News Chief National affairs correspondent Tom Llamas brings us up to speed on the race for governor and Senate in the state of Florida. And, ABC News’ Juju Chang explains the leaked Trump administration memo many claim unfairly targets transgender people.



<pFiveThirtyEight’s Politics Podcast: What On Earth Should We Make Of The Democrats’ Huge Fundraising Edge? ABC News’ friends at FiveThirtyEight debate how to make sense of a fundraising advantage that has no recent precedent: Does it foretell a better result for Democrats than expected, or have changes in fundraising methods made it a poor predictor of results?





President Donald Trump is scheduled to make remarks at White House state leadership day for officials from Alaska, California and Hawaii at 2 p.m. In the evening, he gets a briefing from, and then has dinner with, senior military leaders.<p

Vice President Mike Pence will speak at the National Space Council meeting at 11:30 a.m. EDT. The NSC is expected to vote on recommendations to Trump’s Space Force, which would be recognized as the sixth branch of the armed forces.<p

Hillary Clinton hits the campaign trial for Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum, the Democratic hopeful in Florida’s gubernatorial race. This is event is closed press.<p

Georgia’s Secretary of State Brian Kemp and Democratic challenger Stacey Abrams battle it out in their first gubernatorial debate before midterm elections. Georgia’s gubernatorial race has garnered national attention for both Abrams’ bid to become the nation’s first African-American female governor and for Kemp’s alleged voter-suppression tactics. <p

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The Note is a daily ABC News feature that highlights political analysis of the day ahead. Please check back Tuesday for the latest.